The toss is crucial at Wankhede. Teams winning the toss prefer to chase (58% choose to bowl first). Dew makes the ball difficult to grip for bowlers in the second innings, and the outfield becomes faster. If MI win the toss, expect them to bowl first.

Mumbai Indians: Rohit Sharma returns from a minor hamstring niggle. Full-strength squad expected. Bumrah to lead the pace attack.

Chennai Super Kings: MS Dhoni confirmed as finisher. Ravindra Jadeja available after recovering from a knee injury. Strong XI expected.

Rohit vs Rashid Khan equivalent: Rohit's form at the top will be crucial. He averages 42 in his last 8 innings at Wankhede.

Bumrah vs CSK top order: Bumrah's death bowling will be the key differentiator. CSK's middle order has struggled against express pace this season.

This is a high-scoring venue and both teams have explosive batting line-ups. The over/under line is set at 345.5 total runs, which feels about right given recent matches here.

Key angle: CSK's spin attack might struggle on a flat Wankhede deck. MI's pace-heavy attack is better suited to this venue. Back MI at home, especially if they win the toss and choose to chase.

Player props to watch: Rohit Sharma over 28.5 runs (he averages 38 at Wankhede), Bumrah under 28.5 runs conceded in his spell.